WHEN China’s rival to the US high-technology NASDAQ stock exchange went live for the first time on Monday, the price of shares in some of the 25 listed companies soared by an extraordinary 520 percent. Even by the standards of most equity launches around the world, the behavior of the gains of the “stags” — early investors who fully expect the price of the new stocks to rise — on the new Star Exchange in Shanghai were exceptional.
They may be explained in part by the reality that the Chinese are inveterate gamblers. But there is far more to the new high technology market than a place for wild speculation. Indeed, the Star Exchange is anything but a gamble. It is in fact a strong statement of political intent by the government in Beijing. Less than a year ago, President Xi Jinping announced the market would be set up. It was already very clear to his administration that China was heading into troubled trading waters with the Trump White House.
Even though foreign capital plays a negligible role in funding Chinese companies — being shut off from investment is one of Trump’s many complaints — Xi foresaw his country’s technology sector was likely to be part of the battleground. Washington’s move to lock advanced communications company Huawei out of the new 5G networks worldwide has only been the most obvious element of the challenge facing the sector. Foreign earnings for a raft of businesses involved in the manufacture and development of Information and Communications Technologies (ICT) were always likely to fall. Some measure of the extent of the financial hit China could take is evidenced by the vast $350 billion imbalance in trade between Beijing and Washington.